CareDx Valuation

CDNA Stock  USD 19.47  1.12  6.10%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. CareDx Inc shows a prevailing Real Value of $20.45 per share. The current price of the firm is $19.47. Our model approximates the value of CareDx Inc from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.20 %, return on equity of 0.24, and Current Valuation of 805.5 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting CareDx's valuation include:
Price Book
3.1242
Enterprise Value
805.5 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(2.82)
Price Sales
2.7283
Forward PE
78.7402
Undervalued
Today
19.47
Please note that CareDx's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of CareDx Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing CareDx's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since CareDx is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of CareDx Stock. However, CareDx's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  19.47 Real  20.45 Target  22.0 Hype  19.56 Naive  17.31
The real value of CareDx Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of CareDx Inc Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on CareDx's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of CareDx's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
20.45
Real Value
24.50
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of CareDx Inc helps investors to forecast how CareDx stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of CareDx more accurately as focusing exclusively on CareDx's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.160.210.26
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.5119.5623.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.2617.3121.35
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0222.0024.42
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use CareDx's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of CareDx's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against CareDx's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for CareDx we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

CareDx Cash

83.28 Million

CareDx Revenue by Product

CareDx Total Value Analysis

CareDx Inc is currently estimated to have valuation of 805.5 M with market capitalization of 976.71 M, debt of 28.37 M, and cash on hands of 306.22 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the CareDx fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
805.5 M
976.71 M
28.37 M
306.22 M

CareDx Investor Information

About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CareDx was currently reported as 6.05. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key measurements obtained from CareDx's financial statements, CareDx Inc may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average odds of going through some form of financial crisis next quarter.

CareDx Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. CareDx has an asset utilization ratio of 67.97 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.68 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that CareDx Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

CareDx Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from CareDx's financial statements, CareDx Inc is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate odds of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess CareDx's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2012-12-31
Previous Quarter
-8.6 M
Current Value
1.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
21.1 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, CareDx's Gross Profit is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Pretax Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.15, whereas Gross Profit Margin is forecasted to decline to 0.50.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.50.6
Fairly Down
Very volatile
For CareDx profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of CareDx Inc to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well CareDx utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between CareDx's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of CareDx over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

CareDx Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of CareDx is estimated to be 0.212 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.16 to a high of 0.26. CareDx's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.28. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for CareDx Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
CareDx is projected to generate 0.212 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. CareDx earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected CareDx EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on CareDx's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as CareDx, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

CareDx Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of CareDx's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of CareDx is estimated to be 0.212 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.16 to a high of 0.26. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for CareDx Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.16
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.212
0.26
Highest

CareDx Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of CareDx's value are higher than the current market price of the CareDx stock. In this case, investors may conclude that CareDx is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and CareDx's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
822.38%
0.0
0.212
1.28

CareDx Ownership Allocation

The majority of CareDx Inc outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in CareDx Inc to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in CareDx. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of CareDx Inc as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

CareDx Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 333.79 M. Net Income was 52.55 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 242.15 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates CareDx's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in CareDx and how it compares across the competition.

About CareDx Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines CareDx's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of CareDx. We calculate exposure to CareDx's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of CareDx's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit257.8 M270.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.14  0.15 
Operating Profit Margin 0.14  0.15 
Net Profit Margin 0.14  0.15 
Gross Profit Margin 0.60  0.50 

CareDx Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.6 M
Forward Price Earnings78.7402

CareDx Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of CareDx Inc and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value CareDx we look at many different elements of the entity such as CareDx's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as CareDx, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use CareDx's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes CareDx's worth.

Complementary Tools for CareDx Stock analysis

When running CareDx's price analysis, check to measure CareDx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CareDx is operating at the current time. Most of CareDx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CareDx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CareDx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CareDx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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